|Back to Back Issues Page|
The Colombia Realty Gazette #02 - Are real estate prices in Colombia Overvalued?
November 04, 2008
Your link to the real estate market in Colombia
The newsletter for the non Spanish speaking community with information about the Colombia Real Estate Market and all related issues specially for the international market.
Yes, you may forward this email to anyone you want!
If you don't have a subscription, and would like one,
just go at the end of my Homepage and make your suscription.
(If some of URL in the newsletter are not a link, or shows a "not such URL" error page, please copy-and-paste the complete URL into your Web browser).
The Colombia Realty Gazette #2. November 04, 2008.
"Tough times never last, but tough people do." - Robert H. Schuller.
It seems somewhat repetitive, but it’s inevitable that we continue to discuss this issue. Journalists in Colombia criticize themselves because the only subject they write about in their columns is President Uribe. Likewise, as entrepreneurs, the most talked about subject is the current financial crisis. The typical question posted on any forum is: To what affect will the global crisis have on the Colombian economy? Some say that there will be no affect; others say there will be a small amount of affect and so on. I believe that it definitely does have an affect, for the simple reason that Globalization arrived some time ago and for better or worse our country is riding that wave. The measure of damages, according to each sector, will depend on the way you look at it. As for the real estate sector the question is: How will all this global Pandemonium affect the Colombian real estate market?
A way to analyze this is by looking at whether the prices of our properties are high compared with those from other parts of the world.
Coldwell Banker has published the 2008 HPCI report (Home Price Comparison Index) which compares the value of real estate prices in the U.S. to other markets in the world. Unlike other housing reports, this study “provides an apples-to-apple comparison of similar 2,200 square foot (about 200 sq meter), four-bedroom, two-and-a-half bath homes in 315 markets across the United States, in addition to Puerto Rico, Canada and a sampling of countries/territories outside of North America where Coldwell Banker has a presence.”1
Taking the average home price in some US and international cities and assuming an average exchange rate of COP $ 2.000 per US dollar in comparison with our Colombian market the following points were noted:
Colombia remains among the top countries in the world with the most affordable homes. In Bogota the average price is $1,785,000/m2. In 2007 it held the top spot as the country with the least expensive real estate in the world. This year it came in fifth place passed by Quito, Ecuador - the most affordable of 2008 – along with San Jose, Costa Rica; Hanoi, Vietnam; and Panama City.
In the United States the most expensive real estate per square meter is in La Jolla, along the Californian coast, at $17,870.000/m2, which is nearly double the worth per square meter of a commercial shop in the most expensive mall in Bogota.
In comparison, the most affordable real estate in the US is in Sioux City Iowa at $1,335.000/m2 equal to the average price of a middle class home in a city such as Pereira or Ibague in Colombia.
According to the Coldwell study, the most expensive place in the world is Dubai - $ 24 million pesos per square meter! – No comments needed.
Despite the increase in value of properties in Cartagena in the last few years (with an annual average above 20%), at $2,650.000/m2, it is still far below other Caribbean destinations like Aruba at $3,340.000 and Nassau in the Bahamas at $ 5'070.000, but higher than direct competitors like San Jose, Costa Rica at $1,420.000 and Panama City at $1,580.000/m2. This is an important point to keep in mind if the government wants to compete with these destinations and encourage foreign investment through the “Second housing” law.
With respect to other developing countries where the real estate market has been booming in recent years such as: Romania, Hungary and Turkey, Bogota and other cities are about half the price of these countries becoming a very attractive market for foreign investors.
An interesting comparison:
Barack Obama lives in Chicago where the average price is $8,630.000/m2, while John McCain lives in Phoenix with an average price of $ 2,880.000/m2. It's like comparing Obama living in an exclusive Penthouse in Cartagena and McCain in an apartment at the Chico in Bogota.
It is easy to deduce that real estate prices in Colombia are low, not only globally but in all of Latin America. And they have remained that way despite the current financial crisis. Similarly, the decrease in the dynamics of the local market have been driven more by domestic factors than by external economic factors such as the current ones. There is easy access to mortgage credit and builders are more cautious when initiating new projects. Also, the market has entered a period of adjustment that has helped to scare off any speculative behavior.
One final thought: My grandfather used to say, “The land does not decompose". Nor is it toxic, using the same term the bankers on Wall Street called the papers that ended up worth less than a goose egg. And while there continues to be a crisis in the world's stock markets, real estate in Colombia will remain a safe asset which will not decompose despite bad times.
1 See the complete Coldwell Banker Report at: http://hpci.coldwellbanker.com/hpci_press.aspx
See this article in Spanish at at my blog http://tucasaencolombia.blogspot.com/
I have included new important and useful information in the Colombia real estate guide CREG. Lucky first buyers received the updated guide for free.
- How to deal with mortgage loans in Colombia? Mortgage systems in Colombia, how they work What's credit in UVR and in Pesos? Mortgage credits FAQs How foreigners can get a mortgage in colombia ?
- Conditions to get a mortgage loan to foreigners What to bear in mind if you decide to apply for a mortgage loan Colombian Banks offering mortgage credit from abroad
- How to Open a Bank Account in Colombia for Foreigners Conditions to get a bank account in Colombia To have or not to have a bank account... that's the question Colombian Currency overview
- International Money transfer Alternatives for sending money to Colombia
9 different ways to get your money available in Colombia List of International and local Colombian banks
- Foreign Investment Registration Procedure Benefits of investing in Colombia International Treaties on Foreign Investment Protection Steps for making the foreign investment registration Forms and documents requested
- Tax Regime in Colombia
Foreign income and tax treaties Special expatriate tax regime Principal ways of how to make business in Colombia Personal taxation regime
This guide will be continously updated, and buyers will have access to our lifetime update policy. You can get it here...
Beautiful Country house at the South of Bucaramanga
Published by Mauricio Jaimes
|Back to Back Issues Page|